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Problem 1

Below is a sample from a Poisson distribution with rate λ.

  1. Find the maximum likelihood estimator of λ.

  2. Find the Bayesian estimator for λ if the prior distribution is exponential with rate 1 and using the posterior mean.

## x
##  5  6  7  8  9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 19 
##  1  1  4  1  4  7  6  8  4  4  1  7  2

Problem 2

Let (X1,X2,X3) be a multinomial normal random vector with mean vector (1,1,1) and variance-covariance matrix

[10.50.10.520.30.10.33]

Find an approximation to var[X1+2X2+3X3X21+X22+X23]